(((James Acton)))
@james_acton32
Co-director, @carnegienpp and senior fellow, @CarnegieEndow; nuclear policy, national security & politics; occasional agonizing about @Nationals; RT≠E etc.
<THREAD>#Netanyahu redux: The Iran archive appears to confirm what the IAEA and western intelligence already knew, (1/n)
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Nouvelle conversation
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Israel appears to have « come across » an astonishing trove of intelligence. It doubtless contains new *details* about Iran’s nuclear weapon program. (2/n)
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However, the IAEA and western intelligence agencies had long known about this program. He’s a flow chart produced by the IAEA in **2011** showing how the organization of Iran’s nuclear weapon program changed over time. Note project AMAD. https://www.iaea.org/sites/default/files/gov2011-65.pdf … (3/n)
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So, when Iranian officials claim–as they often do–that Iran has a nuclear weapons program, they were lying. But, we knew that already, The JCPOA was designed on that basis. (4/n)
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Now, I certainly don’t want to whitewash Iran here. Lying to the IAEA is a serious issue; retaining documents relevant to the development of nuclear weapons doubly so. (5/n)
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Israel’s decision to give this information to the IAEA is welcome,. The IAEA should investigate its veracity and, if it appears authentic, pursue the issue with Iran. (6/n)
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Clearly, the IAEA cannot and should not grant Iran the co-called broader conclusion (i.e. verify the absence of undeclared nuclear material) until all leads relating to these documents have been fully chased down. (7/n)
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Withdrawing from the Iran Deal–as Netanyahu is patently trying to convince Trump to do–would inevitably forestall Iranian cooperation with the IAEA and so prove counterproductive. (8/8)
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En prime: former Sweden foreign minister Carl Bildt, in a tweet immediately after Netanyahu’s remarks: “Nothing really new in @netanyahu Iran speech. Confirms that Iran closed down nuclear weapons program in 2003. Continued technology efforts. In peinciple all of this well known. No allegation that Iran cheats on 2015 nuclear deal.”
En prime:
Nuclear watchdog
@iaeaorg statement: « No credible indications of activities in Iran relevant to the development of a nuclear explosive device after 2009. »Traduire le Tweet
brunobertez 