The Second Largest Bubble in 100 Years

The S&P 500 is up a blistering 240% from its March 2009 lows. Yet the overall economy creeps along at half-steam. The recovery — such as it is — is the weakest since the Great Depression.

What accounts for the discrepancy? Is it the Fed?

If you think it is, you’ve probably been reading lots of Jim Rickards and David Stockman.

And you’d also be right…

McCurdy: “Those gains have been fueled primarily by the Federal Reserve and its reckless stimulus policies… By holding short-term interest rates near zero for seven years, the Federal Reserve has encouraged malinvestment and speculation… creating massive market distortions and imbalances.”

Does he say when the bubble meets its inevitable end? No. No one can precisely. We know one brilliant analyst who’s predicted, to the date, hour and minute, 11 of the past two crashes. In the famous words attributed to John Maynard Keynes, “The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent.”

But McCurdy says “at a current duration of nearly eight years, the latest cyclical top is long overdue and could form at any time.”

But this McCurdy fellow isn’t the only one eyeing straws in the wind…

Julian Emanuel is U.S. equity and derivatives strategist at UBS. From whom:

“The wall of worry which has supported stocks for eight years has given way to a deep sense of hope and optimism. »

Optimism. Isn’t that good? Not always:

« Such optimism is often seen near the end of bull moves/beginning of corrections rather than at the early or midstages. »

Optimism? The S&P has gone 70 straight sessions without a single fall of 1% or more, and it’s working hard on 71 — its longest streak since 2006, when it hit 94, according to CNBC.

« And you can remember what happened in 2007 and 2008, » warns Boris Schlossberg of BK Asset Management.

Indeed, we can. More: « There’s definitely some sort of a storm coming. I don’t know if it’s going to be mild, or more severe, but it’s almost impossible for me to believe that we’re just going to have this… calm for much longer. Something’s going to trip the markets and they’re going to get corrected. »

Ah, yes, something. But what exactly?

China goes for a “maxi-devaluation” of the yuan, perhaps. Many think China could do it soon. The market saw double-digit corrections the last two times China devalued a few percent, in 2015 and 2016. What would a 20% devaluation do?

Maybe something happens with Russia. Or maybe the media dig up something on Trump that roils markets. Or the Fed botches its way into another crash.

Whatever it is, the experts will probably miss it and then explain afterward how obvious it was at the time. And here’s a prediction, sure as sugar: They’ll try to pin it all on Trump. Even if he had zilch to do with it.

The establishments (plural), the globalists, the media all loathe Trump with a passion verging on lunacy. And what better way to discredit him and all the stump-toothed, gun-toting, beer-swilling deplorables from flyover country who put him in office?

Their cry will be this: “See what happens when those know-nothing, anti-globalist populists are allowed to call the shots? If we were in charge, none of this would have happened! (And under their breath: America first, we’ll see about that.”)

Many people will believe them. Then the elites can resume their places atop the pyramid. And the rest of us can resume our own places… far beneath.

Below, Jim Rickards shows you the elite’s plan for the next collapse… and how you can protect yourself now, before it happens. Read on.

Regards,

Brian Maher
Managing editor, The Daily Reckoning

Editor’s note: Here’s what Jim Rickards finds REALLY shocking about thecoming financial collapse:

It will represent the world’s first “purposeful” financial collapse.

Most people will think it’s happening because of random market chaos. But behind the scenes, 189 operatives will orchestrate every moment of the crisis.

Who’s behind it? And what does it mean for you and your family’s financial future? Go here for details… from Jim Rickards himself.

In Cat’s Cradle, a doomsday machine is created. Scientists discovered a molecule called Ice-Nine, very similar to water (H₂O) with two differences.

Number one, it has a melting point of 114.4°F. Which means it’s frozen at room temperature. The other characteristic is if a molecule of Ice-Nine comes in contact with a molecule of water, the water turns to Ice-Nine. In other words, it turns to a form of ice.

The plot of the book was that there was only a small amount of this Ice-Nine and the scientist gave it to his three children in vials. As long as the vials were sealed, it was all good. If you open the vial and pour the Ice-Nine into a stream, the stream would freeze, then the lake would freeze, a river would freeze, a ocean would freeze, the entire plant would freeze. We would be in a new ice age and life on Earth would be wiped out.

It’s a doomsday machine.

I took that as a metaphor to explain what’s going to happen in the financial system and the next financial crisis. (I describe all the critical details in The Road to Ruin).

Physical gold and silver are the answer to Ice-Nine. I don’t think they’re in jeopardy in an Ice-Nine scenario. I think that gold and silver are one of the ways to survive Ice-Nine.

It the crisis of 1998, which I was very involved in negotiating a solution, prior to the crisis of 1998. What we saw in 1998 was Wall Street get together and bail out the hedge fund Long-Term Capital Management. Then in 2008, the central banks got together and bailed out Wall Street. In the next crisis, 2018, maybe sooner, maybetomorrow, who’s going to bail out the central banks?

Each bailout gets bigger than the one before. Each crisis gets bigger than the one before. We are now at the point where the ability of central banks to reliquify the system is in doubt because they’re heavily stretched. The central bank balance sheets are extremely bloated.

Central banks have printed so much money already, it’s not obvious that they can do it again from the current levels without destroying confidence in the dollar, and all major currencies.

The question is, where will the liquidity come from in the next financial crisis if it can’t come from the central banks?

The answer is the IMF. The International Monetary Fund has the only clean balance sheet out of the major financial institutions. It can print money. They call it the SDR, the Special Drawing Rights. I call new world money.

The IMF can flood the market, and the world with trillions of SDRs equivalent to more than trillions of dollars which is exactly how they’ll do it. There is a problem with this model at the IMF though. It’s got a 24-member executive committee representing 24 nations around the world, or groups of nations. Every five years they change the voting rights.

It so happens that 2017 is one of those five-year reviews where they’re going to increase the voting rights of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS). The so-called BRICS are going to get more votes and potential veto power within the IMF model.

When it comes time for the IMF to issue world money (SDRs) to reliquify the world, there’s going to be a negotiation period. It will to take months to complete. During the last crisis this took 11 months. That was when the crisis hit in September, 2008 we saw Lehman Brothers hit a crisis, the IMF began to issue SDRs in August 2009.

Even though they react on a case basis, it’s going to take, an estimated 3 or 4 months at least to get SDRs issued. In that interim period between the crisis and the time the IMF can react, central banks will be paralyzed. They’re likely going to lock down the system.

When I say lock down, they’ll start with money market funds. I can’t think of a greater misnomer than the money market funds. People think that money market funds are money. They’re not money; they’re mutual funds regulated by the SEC. People think they can just call up their broker, sell to the money market fund and the money’s in my bank the next day.

That will not be true in this crisis because everyone will be doing the same thing. That is what happened in 2008 when Ben Bernanke and Hank Paulson went to the White House and said to the President that the system’s melting down and he must act.

That was such a shock then, that when it happens again they’re not going to give you your money. They’re going to lock it down. The problem is, and this is where the Ice-Nine metaphor comes in, is that when it is spreading you can’t just lock down part of the system.

If you lock down money market funds, people are just going to take their money out of the banks. Then you’re going to have to close the banks. Then people are going to sell their stocks, then you’re going to have to close the stock market. Every time you shut one path to liquidity, people are going to turn to another path.

The metaphor of Ice-Nine is that it spreads from molecule to molecule, institution to institution, requiring a freeze on the entire system.

It happened in part in 1914, 1931, 1933 and to gold in 1971. There’s no precedent for a total freeze but we’re getting closer to that point.

The question is, how do you protect yourself against that? There’s only so much you can do.

I don’t recommend running down and pulling all your money out of the bank. I would not have more than the insured amount, which in the U.S. is $250,000. You can spread it between your selected banks so that each is backed and insured up to the limit.

The thing about gold and silver is that it needs to be in physical form, in safe storage, and a non-bank. Putting it in a safety deposit box in a bank is troublesome because by the time you want it the most, that will be when the banks are going to be closed.

That’s Ice-Nine. In the world described, the dollar price of gold will be approach the $10,000-level if not much higher. Don’t wait on gold, because when all of this begins to play out, you’re not going to be able to get gold.

Ice-Nine is a freeze of the financial system, it’s something that’s happened before, it’ll happen again in the next crisis. Physical gold and silver is the answer to Ice-Nine, and you should get it while you still can.

Regards,

Jim Rickards
for The Daily Reckoning

P.S. I’ve spanned the globe for the past 10 months, gathering details about a looming financial crash.

I met with some of the most powerful people in the worlds of finance and politics.

All of these meetings have led me to the same shocking conclusion. We could be on the verge of a $326 trillion “freezing” of the world financial system.

Here’s what’s really shocking:

It would represent the world’s first “purposeful” financial collapse. People will assume it’s happening as a result of random market chaos. But behind the scenes, some 189 operatives will be orchestrating every moment of the crisis.

Not only will this event devastate millions of individual Americans. This same event could end Trump’s presidency before it really even begins.

In this brand new video interview, I reveal all (including who’s behind this looming catastrophe).

For immediate access to this world-premiere story, simply go here now.